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| Monetary Policy Rules Based on Real Time Data Paper that argues that Federal Reserve forecasts for future monetary policy prove more accurate than Taylor rule forecasts.
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New Economy - New Policy Rules? Analysis of the Taylor Rule in the face of evidence of a permanent increase in productivity and implications for the conduct of monetary policy.
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Robustness of Simple Monetary Policy Rules Under Model Uncertainty Analysis of the ability of four common macroeconomic models to forecast monetary policy.
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Legal Structure, Financial Structure and Monetary Policy Article by the New York Federal Reserve that discusses the monetary policy transmission mechanism of the ECB.
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Monetary Policy, Taylor's Rule and Endogenous Fluctuations Analysis of the dynamic behavior of an economy when the central bank implements an inflation targeting regime.
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The Monetary Policy of the Eurosystem Article by Ottmar Issing of the European Central Bank (ECB) that outlines the structure of the ECB.
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New Challenges for Monetary Policy Speech by Federal Reserve Governor Meyer at the yearly Jackson Hole Symposium on how the FOMC makes monetary policy decisions.
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How Should Monetary Policy Respond to Shocks While Maintaining Long Run Price Stability? Paper that discusses the pertinent issues involved in conducting monetary policy to maintain price stability once achieved.
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On Policy Rules for Price Stability Analysis of various models for conducting monetary policy guided by price stability.
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Recent Developments in the Analysis on Monetary Policy Rules Speech that details the historical development and current implications of rules-based monetary policy.
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Open Market Operations Brief article by the New York Federal Reserve that describes open market operations as the Federal Reserve's most flexible means of carrying out monetary policy.
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Currency Boards, Credibility and Macroeconomic Behavior Working paper by Luis Rivera Batiz and Amadou Sy of the Research Department of the International Monetary Fund.
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Monetary Policy Implications of Greater Fiscal Discipline Analysis of the implications of fiscal discipline for the conduct of monetary policy.
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Implications of Uncertainty for Monetary Policy Paper by the Reserve Bank of Australia that argues for an activist monetary policy in the face of uncertainty regarding macroeconomic variables.
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Threshold Effects in the Relationship Between Inflation and Growth Working paper by Mohsin S. Khan and Abdelhak S. Senhadji of the International Monetary Fund Institute.
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Reserve Requirements Discussion of how reserve requirements are used as a tool of monetary policy written by the New York Federal Reserve.
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Monetary Policy With Noisy Information Paper that argues that inaccurate macroeconomic data can negatively impact rules-based monetary policy.
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Implementing Inflation Targeting in Brazil Paper by the Central Bank of Brazil on its implementation of inflation targeting and conclusions to be drawn from its experience.
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The Taylor Rule and Interest Rates in the EMU Area Paper that suggests the Taylor Rule may be an appropriate model for the ECB.
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The Federal Reserve System In Brief Introduction to the organization and operations of the Federal Reserve, including a section on how the Fed conducts monetary policy.
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The Performance of Simple Monetary Policy Rules in a Large Open Economy Comparison of the relative sensitivity of Eurozone and US monetary policy to the external value of their respective currencies.
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Discount Window Discussion of the use of the Federal Reserve's discount window as a tool for conducting monetary policy.
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Learning About a Shift in Trend Output: Implications for Monetary Policy and Inflation Paper that develops a macroeconomic model for monetary policy conduct, and the implications of changes in macroeconomic variables.
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Measuring Monetary Policy Shocks in France, Germany and Italy: The Role of the Exchange Rate Working paper that estimates the weight on the ECU exchange rate in France, Germany and Italy. Requires Acrobat Reader.
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Is the Taylor Rule the Same as the Friedman Rule? Comparison and contrast of the Taylor and Friedman rules for monetary policy conduct.
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Monetary Policy With Changing Financial and Labor-Market Fundamentals Analysis of the Taylor rule and FOMC reaction to changing macroeconomic variables.
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Monetary Policy: Recent Theory and Practice Paper that reviews the major developments of the last three decades in central banking.
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The Effects of Potential Output Uncertainty on the Performance of Simple Policy Rules Analysis of the importance of accurate macroeconomic data and forecasting for monetary policy rules.
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Output Gap Uncertainty: Does it Matter for the Taylor Rule? Analysis of the effect of measurement error in the output gap on monetary policy rules.
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Monetary Policy Rules and Inflation Forecasts Contrast of backward- versus forward-looking models of inflation targeting as a tool for the conduct of monetary policy.
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Perceived Central Bank Intervention and Market Expectations: An Empirical Study of the Yen/Dollar Exchange Rate, 1993 - 1996 Working paper by Gabriele Galati and William Melick. Requires Acrobat Reader.
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Testing for the Lucas Critique: A Quantitative Investigation Examination of the implications for the Taylor Rule of forward-looking agents.
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Achieving Economic Stability: Lessons From the Crash of 1929 Essay by the Minneapolis Federal Reserve that discusses the lessons of the crash of 1929 for the conduct of monetary policy.
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Price-Level Targets Article by the Saint Louis Fed that examines the implications of setting price-level targets.
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Forward-Looking Rules for Monetary Policy Evaluation of inflation targeting rules and implications for the Bank of England's monetary policy conduct.
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Simplicity Versus Optimality: The Choice of Monetary Policy Rules When Agents Must Learn Analysis that examines the costs and benefits for central banks of rules-based models.
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Conducting Monetary Policy with Inflation Targets Article that outlines the impact of the adoption of an inflation target on monetary policy operations and decisions.
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Taylor Rule Implementation for a Small Developing Economy Adjustments to the Taylor rule of monetary policy conduct for small developing countries.
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Inflation-Target Design Article by the Saint Louis Fed that examines empirical evidence of the success of central bank inflation-targeting on subduing inflation.
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A Forward-Looking Monetary Policy Reaction Function Analysis of various reaction functions for forecasting monetary policy.
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Estimation and Control of a Macroeconomic Model with Rational Expectations John Taylor's seminal work on a rule-based policy for monetary conduct.
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Forecasting Inflation and Growth Comparison and contrast of central bank and private forecasts of inflation and growth.
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Aggregate Disturbances, Monetary Policy and the Macroeconomy Article that analyzes a macroeconomic model for monetary policy and the implications of changes in monetary policy for the macroeconomic variables in the model.
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Price Stability and Monetary Policy Effectiveness When Nominal Interest Rates are Bounded at Zero Paper that examines the effectiveness of macroeconomic models of monetary policy conduct at near-zero inflation levels.
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The Quest for Prosperity Without Inflation Paper that argues against fixed models of monetary policy conduct given the uncertainty over macroeconomic forecasts.
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Models and Monetary Policy: More Science Than Art? Article by the Saint Louis Federal Reserve that discusses the usefulness and limitations of quantitiative models for conducting monetary policy.
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The Importance of Systematic Monetary Policy for Economic Activity Impact of rules-based monetary policy conduct for the real economy.
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Should the Fed Take Deliberate Steps to Deflate Asset Bubble Prices? Article that outlines the debate over whether the Federal Reserve should target asset prices in directing monetary policy.
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Monetary Operations in the European Economic and Monetary Union Paper by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) that explains the operating procedures of the European Central Bank.
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Describing Fed Behavior Authored by the Saint Louis Federal Reserve, the article analyzes the use of the Taylor rule as a tool for characterizing Fed policy.
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Selected Issues Concerning Monetary Policy and Institutional Design for Central Banks - A Review of Theories Working paper by Christian Beddies of the International Monetary Fund.
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Divergences in the Euro Area: A Cause for Concern? Analysis by the Bank of Finland on the implications of macroeconomic divergences within the euro area for a single monetary policy.
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The Impact of Monetary Policy on the Exchange Rate - Evidence from Three Small Open Economies Working paper by Jeromin Zettelmeyer of the International Monetary Fund. Requires Acrobat Reader.
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Sacrifice Ratios and the Conduct of Monetary Policy in Conditions of Low Inflation Working paper by Palle Andersen and William Wascher. Requires Acrobat Reader.
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Monetary Policy Brief discussion of monetary policy, including open market operations and their implications.
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Inflation Targeting: Is New Zealand's Experience Relevant to Developing Countries? Speech by the governor of the New Zealand central bank that reviews the bank's experience with inflation targeting and discusses the implications for developing countries.
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InflationTargeting and Output Stabilization Paper by the Reserve Bank of Australia that disputes arguments of the limitations of inflation targeting.
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Monetary Rules Speech by Federal Reserve Governor Gramlich that discusses the benefits and limitations of rules for the conduct of monetary policy.
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Optimal Horizons in Inflation Targeting Paper that analyzes inflation targeting by the Bank of England.
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More Evidence on the Robustness of theTaylor Rule Presentation of empirical evidence that the Taylor rule acts as a reliable indicator of monetary policy changes.
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Overview of the Monetary Policy Framework Introduction to the European System of Central Banks (ESCB) conducts open market operations, written by the European Central Bank.
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Real Effects of Monetary Policy in a World Economy Paper by the Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank that presents a model for measuring the impact of monetary policy on the real economy.
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Monetary Policy and the Economy Paper that outlines the effect of monetary policy on market interest rates and the real economy.
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Are Currency Boards a Cure for All Monetary Problems? Article by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) that presents the limitations of currency boards.
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Monetary Policy Rules? Article written by Saint Louis Federal Reserve President Poole that argues for the adoption of concrete rules for the conduct of monetary policy.
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Policy Credibility and the Design of Central Banks Paper that details the move towards greater central bank independence and the implications for monetary policy effectiveness.
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Monetary Policy Operating Procedures in Industrial Countries Working paper that reviews current monetary policy implementation procedures to highlight similarities and differences across countries.
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Three Lessons for Monetary Policy in a Low Inflation Era Paper that analyzes the effect of low inflation on rules-based monetary policy conduct.
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Discretion Versus Policy Rules in Practice Analysis of rules-based versus discretionary conduct of monetary policy, and introduction of the Taylor rule, by John Taylor of Stanford University.
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No Fixed Policy Rules for the Monetary Policy of the ECB Article that quotes statements by an ECB board member arguing against fixed rules for monetary policy conduct.
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Formulating a Consistent Approach to Monetary Policy Speech by Federal Reserve President Stern on achieving a consistent method of conducting monetary policy.
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Forecast-Based Monetary Policy Working paper that analyzes the welfare consequences of delegating to the central bank the task of minimizing deviations of forecasts of goal variables from their target values.
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The Implementation of Monetary Policy in Industrial Countries 1997 survey of the conduct of monetary policy in industrial countries by the Bank for International Settlements.
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The Perils of Taylor Rules Analysis of the effectiveness of the Taylor Rule given interest rate feedback transmission.
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Eurosystem Monetary Targeting: Lessons from US Data Analysis of monetary and inflation targeting effectiveness in the United States, and implications for ECB policy.
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UK Monetary Policy 1972-97 Historical guide to UK monetary policy using Taylor Rules.
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Maintaining Price Stability Article by Stanley Fischer of the World Bank that outlines the effectiveness and implications of central bank price-level targets.
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Structural change and Monetary Policy Speech by Federal Reserve Governer Meyer that argues for adherence to the natural rate of unemployment as a guide to determining monetary policy.
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Monetary Rules When Economic Behaviour Changes Analysis of the implications for a macroeconomic monetary policy rule when economic behavior changes.
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How Useful are Taylor Rules for Monetary Policy? Paper by the Kansas City Fed that argues that the usefulness of Taylor rules for monetary policy is limited.
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Malcom Bryan and the Introduction of Monetary Aggregate Targets Article that describes the arguments for monetary aggregate targeting by a former president of the Atlanta Federal Reserve.
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Monetary Policy in an Estimated Optimisation-Based Model With Sticky Prices and Wages Working paper that analyzes the welfare properties of various interest-rate rules for conducting monetary policy. Requires Acrobat Reader.
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Discovering Open Market Operations Article by the Minneapolis Federal Reserve that introduces the FOMC's main tool for conducting monetary policy.
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U.S. Monetary Policy: An Introduction Introduction on how the Federal Reserve conducts monetary policy by the San Francisco Fed.
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Learning and the Complexity of Monetary Policy Rules Presentation of a multifactor macroeconomic model for monetary policy conduct.
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Taylor's Rule and the Fed Paper by the San Francisco Fed that offers empirical evidence of the validity of the Taylor rule.
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